Might be more useful than trying to predict!
FRCA Examiners say they deliver “topical” questions… (see the SAQ report on the RCOA website)
So if it’s had guidelines and an article or two in one or more journals, it’s probably higher up the list of probable topics coming up in the exam than something else.
Anything that’s had an editorial and an article, or a CEACCP or review article, is also fair game.
If it’s headlining in the BMJ it has also occasionally shown up (apparently….), however, I’m not sure about that one.
Questions done badly the year before have a tendency to crop up again, occasionally with a twist.
Specific predictions tend to be more difficult to make. When I did the final I guessed 8 of 12, I think. Didn’t guess that anatomy of paravertebral space would come up, asthma, anxiety or pancreatitis (April/June 2008). The others I guessed might come up based on the criteria outlined above. I thought other topics might also come up, as did others, so you can’t fully narrow down what to revise, and to be honest, you’ll be better off not doing so in the long run anyway!